A brief explication of the problem of rising US college tuition

(UPDATE: a significant error has been fixed in the below chart. Thanks to Felix Salmon’s readers for pointing out the error.)

The ever-rising cost of US college tuition is a constant news theme this time of year, including recent views by the Wall Street Journal (”Students Borrow More Than Ever For College“) and the always-provocative Felix Salmon. A discussion with my father-in-law, who mentioned that he used to earn enough to pay his private-college tuition in the 1950s while working in the Poconos each summer, spurred me to look at how tuition has risen from 1950 till now. (I was a freshman in college in 1980.) I looked at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, my alma mater, to make a constant comparison, but I could have used any 4-year college. Here’s what I found:


1950 1980 2009
RPI tuition (then-current dollars) 700 4500 38100
Tuition (2009 dollars) 6255 11718 38100
US median income (2009 dollars) 29658 54744 61808

This is what happens when prices increase above the rate of inflation for decades. Here’s another way of viewing the same information:

I’m not sure how much more prices can rise before the entire system collapses, or at least radically rearranges. My son is 8 years old. Will we have $100,000 yearly expenses by the time he goes to school? Will anyone be able to afford that? Will it be worth it?

(Spreadsheet with sources referenced can be found here: college-tuition-trends1)

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  • NWGuy

    It would be interesting if you had the same type of comparison with the loans and scholarships provided to students. My belief (without proper research) is that government loans to students have made it “easier” for families to deal with the increased tuition. The downside is that many students have the equivalence of a home mortgage upon graduation.

    We won't go into where all of the tuition increases go but my guess is that at some point there will be competition to the regular 4 year degree. It's a shame because the life experiences at college are very enriching, and fun.

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