Archive for the ‘credit crisis’ Category

The era of cheap s–t is over

Monday, October 20th, 2008

Our kids’ piano teacher lets our kids choose a little prize after their lessons, if they’ve tried hard and been attentive. The other day, my wife said, after tripping over one of these dollar toys for the millionth time, “I may have to tell her to start bringing candy, instead of these little toys. I can’t keep up with all the crap.”

Help is on the way. Last Thursday, on NPR’s All Things Considered, reporter Louisa Lim tells us that many Chinese factories who supplied the world with cheap trinkets are going out of business, victims of rising commodity prices and slack demand from the West. Chinese government action may also be a cause, according to the ATC story:

Harley Seyedin, the president of the American Chamber of Commerce in South China, says this slowdown was the result of deliberate action by the government.

“The majority of this happened because of changes in regulations last year deliberately decided by the Chinese government in order to slow down the economy and to move away from reprocessing [and those] labor intensive, environmentally unfriendly and energy-intensive kind of companies,” Seyedin says. “And certainly some companies have suffered as a result of that. Those types of companies needed to go anyway.”

Hallelujah. One of the byproducts of the economic slowdown will be a ratcheting down in our acquisitiveness, and a reduction in the easy credit that’s allowed us to buy more crap, cheap or otherwise. To me, there’s good news in that.

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Once in a lifetime… more on the financial crisis

Monday, September 29th, 2008

I’d love to write about innovation, growing new markets, etc., but for the moment I’m preoccupied, like many others, with the financial crisis, especially a feeling that I can only express in the words of David Byrne from “Once In A Lifetime”:

How did we get here?

To that end, Harvard University held a panel discussion last week, nicely summarized at the Working Knowledge web site, that helps to illuminate the situation. Lots of wisdom and perspective here, including this sobering (but perhaps welcome) observation, from another summary of the conference by Andrew O’Connell of the HBR Editors’ Blog (the post at Editors’ blog also contains a link to a video of the entire event.):


As management professor Robert Kaplan pointed out early in the discussion, Americans’ ability to tap into their home equity had for years masked a fundamental deterioration in their ability to pay for goods and services with their wages. And as we all can see too clearly now, what’s under that mask isn’t a pretty sight.

I imagine many bankers feel like the besieged, buffeted, sweating, stunned character Byrne plays in the video. Do they say to themselves, “My God, what have I done?”

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