Posts Tagged ‘downturn’

The Wages of Fear

Wednesday, July 1st, 2009

This crisis is more difficult than anything I’ve faced professionally in my entire life. It makes me realize how fortunate I was for my first 20 work years–how protected and insulated from the business cycle I was.

As I began my work career in 1984 for GTE, I envisioned, like the preceding generation, that I would eventually retire from that company. “You are the future leaders of GTE,” managers told the group of new hires into their management-training program, and I believed it. I even felt that someday I could be CEO of GTE.

Six years later, I left, entranced by the possibility of a startup. I loved the small team size, the direct connection between my performance and the company’s results. We had all-employee meetings standing up in the lab.

Less than two years later, it was apparent that the dream of riches wasn’t to be (a good lesson; I didn’t realize then how rarely startup dreams convert into riches).

Next step was EDS, a gigantic company, though I was in a remote outpost (Boston) which made working for a mammoth corporation much more palatable. The work concerned cellular telephony. (At the time, handsets were called “bricks,” and were nearly as heavy. They cost $1000.) The industry grew so quickly that there was plenty of new business for all comers. I was in marketing now, product management, where I developed my love for launching new products. I made lots of mistakes there, and I learned a ton, eventually developing a specialty helping salespeople structure, price and communicate complex outsourcing deals.

But in 1997 EDS started to retrench in telecom, and I had spent enough time in Boston. I moved to Atlanta, had a brief cup of coffee with Alltel (that’s another story) which I will cherish forever because I met my wife there, and was recruited to join LHS, an IPO wonder story.

LHS was a crazy place, full of conflicts, overcommitted, with everyone checking the stock price on Yahoo five times a day. I loved it. I managed alliances with Airtouch, Logica and others. I helped close some important deals and learned about the give and take required to create and sustain a successful alliance–as well as lots of lessons about what not to do.

Then LHS was sold, and the buyer offered me a lame marketing position. Not for me. My wife and I were looking to move north, closer to relatives, when a job opening came up at a telecom billing provider near Harrisburg, PA. It was a chance to report to a CEO, be a part owner of a company, and get pretty close to the top (as close, I learned, as I wanted to get).

Of course, this was in 2000. The tech bubble had burst, and all the telecom growth projections that had proven conservative in prior years were insanely optimistic now. We struggled to grow (not fun for the VP of Sales & Marketing), but worked hard to keep our most important customers and bring on important new ones.

But like lots of companies you read about now, we were overleveraged. The loans came due, and we couldn’t refinance. We were sold, and there wasn’t a great fit between me and the new owners.

I went out on my own, which was difficult, then as I started to get a foothold, all this shit happened in the summer of 2008, which we’re still living with.

So here we are. I wouldn’t want to go back. I love what I do now. But I do miss how easy it was in the old days. I can’t decide if this is an anomalous situation or whether 1984-2000 was the anomaly. Perhaps they both are.

I started this post to make a point, but I honestly can’t remember it now. I’d rather teach and share than vent or complain. We’ll make it through this era, and someday we’ll look back on this as the greatest life lesson we ever learned. But at the moment I’m ready for the lesson to end.

Please consider sharing your feelings in the comments.

N.B.: Each company I mention in this post has been merged out of independent existence. One, LHS, re-emerged as a standalone company.

(”The Wages of Fear” is a 1953 French movie.)

Selling today: casting a wide net and “going for the no”

Wednesday, June 17th, 2009

Market segmentation is a very attractive concept. Analyzing a group of customers, comparing it to the capabilities of your product set, and deciding who are the highest-probability targets. Salespeople then focus their efforts on this narrower set of prospects. Sales then follow.

At its worst, though, segmentation allows you to fall in love with a small pipeline. After all, if the prospects are in the target segments, they should be easier to close than an undifferentiated mass.

But these days, negative factors are overwhelming positive factors in buying. In other words, companies’ reluctance to do anything during this downturn means that there are far more automatic “no’s” out there than during boom times.

For the salesperson, as a result, the small pipeline is the kiss of death. No amount of persuasion, reference-sharing, value proposition development, trial closing, etc., will turn around a prospect who’s not ready, willing, and able to do business with you. And today being a “ready, willing and able” prospect means having a business problem that’s so acute that you are willing to surmount all the obstacles to get it approved and funded.

How does the salesperson deal with this? Understanding the business problem her solution addresses is the first step. Then, finding customers suffering acutely from that problem is paramount. This may mean ignoring or de-emphasizing market segments in favor of casting a very wide net, to get lots and lots of suspects. And then, using Jeff Thull’s terminology, “going for the ‘no’”–meaning very quickly assessing whether they prospect has the business problem, and whether its acute enough to take that person’s time, resources and budget to address it right now. If it’s a no, say “thank you” and move on.

Someday, we may be able again to isolate high-potential prospects through market segmentation. At this moment, I’ll put my money on a ton of leads.

Related posts:
Downturn is costing companies their adventurousness
To close, a purchaser must be ready, willing and able

Downturn is costing companies their adventurousness

Tuesday, June 16th, 2009

You can’t see much from a foxhole.

I’ve talked to dozens of companies in the past six months, and one pattern is coming clear: the downturn has put them on the defensive, at the cost of their adventurousness.

CFOs are stopping new investment to save cash. Layoffs are decimating teams and executive departures (voluntary and otherwise) are halting sponsorship of ongoing projects. Middle managers are stuck in the, well, middle: knowing what they need to do but lacking the wherewithal to get it done. And employees up and down the line are keeping their heads down, hoping to avoid the ax when/if it falls again.

And, while there may be long-term virtues in a more frugal approach to managing businesses (especially financial businesses), this hunkering down is a bad thing for corporate America.

So, here’s a plea to every company out there: stop worrying for a few moments and try something new. You might make a mistake, but you might hit a home run, too. At minimum, you’ll be able to peek your head out of the foxhole and begin the process of healing and recovery.

Start now.

Related post:
Selling today: casting a wide net and going for the “no.”

“The Silver Lining” is a good intro to the new innovation methods

Thursday, June 11th, 2009

While reading Scott Anthony’s new book “The Silver Lining: An Innovation Playbook for Uncertain Times” you get the feeling of a project rushed into production. It’s written as a reaction to the financial crisis and resulting upheaval, which means it’s been less than a year in creation. It’s small-sized and brief (180 pages). As a result it doesn’t go into the depth other recent innovation books do.

Nonetheless, it’s a worthwhile read, especially if you want a quicker overview than you can get with “The Catalyst,” “Discovery-Driven Growth” or “The Innovator’s Guide To Growth” (co-written by Anthony, a book which “The Silver Lining” owes a particular debt to).

Anthony, president of the Innosight consultancy (co-founded by “Innovators’ Dilemma” author Clayton Christensen) is an acolyte for Christensen’s brand of disruptive innovation–which often means developing “good enough” products that do less, for significantly less cost, than incumbent products. A theme of “The Silver Lining,” then, is creating entirely new products without low-value features, as opposed to the incumbent’s default innovation approach–adding new features. This remains an important and underused insight more than a decade after it was first put forth.

My favorite bit of the book has to do with companies’ often distorted view of what the market needs their products to do–views that shape the product’s evolution and often, paradoxically, make it less useful to the customers it intends to serve. Writes Anthony, “A company’s view of performance rarely matches the market’s view of performance” (p.133). My experience with Customers Are Talking projects bears this out. My clients are consistently surprised by (and sometimes upset with) what the marketplace says they’re good, and not so good, at doing.

2009 has been a good year for innovation books so far. If you can only buy one, I’d go with “Discovery-Driven Growth.” If you can afford three, add “The Catalyst” and “The Silver Lining” to the list.